Josh Appelt vs Mohammed Usman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReach79"
253 lbsWeight237 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 ratedTeamWar Room Kickboxing & MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh AppeltMohammed Usman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Josh Appelt and Mohammed Usman within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1615), separated by just 1 points.
Josh Appelt finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Mohammed Usman 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.