Josh Barnett vs Pedro Rizzo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
35-8-0Record20-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
78,0"ReachTBD
248 lbsWeight244 lbs
UWF USATeamRuas Vale Tudo
What's at stake
Josh Barnett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Pedro Rizzo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1786
If they lose-16→ 1762
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-8→ 1665
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josh BarnettPedro Rizzo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Barnett72%
Pedro Rizzo 28%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Barnett a 72% favorite over Pedro Rizzo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Josh Barnett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1778 to 1673, a 105-point edge.
Josh Barnett finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Rizzo 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.