Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Barnett vs Randy Couture

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Josh Barnett
us

Josh Barnett

“The Warmaster”

35-8-0HeavyweightUFC

1777Great
Randy Couture
us

Randy Couture

“The Natural”

19-11-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1721Good

Tale of the tape

35-8-0Record19-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
78,0"Reach75"
248 lbsWeight203 lbs
UWF USATeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Josh Barnett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Randy Couture carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josh BarnettNow 1777
If they win+10→ 1787
If they lose-14→ 1763
Randy CoutureNow 1721
If they win+14→ 1735
If they lose-10→ 1711

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.20
Sig. strikes / min
2.85
51%
Strike accuracy
58%
2.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.53
57%
Strike defense
59%
1.26
Takedown avg.
2.78
55%
Takedown accuracy
47%
56%
Takedown defense
58%
1.38
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Josh BarnettRandy Couture
17001750180020092010201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

10 (29%)
KO/TKO
7 (37%)
19 (56%)
Submission
4 (21%)
5 (15%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Barnett67%
Randy Couture 33%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Barnett a 67% favorite over Randy Couture in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Josh Barnett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1777 to 1721, a 56-point edge.

Josh Barnett finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Randy Couture 58%.

Josh Barnett carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.