Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Barnett vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Barnett
us

Josh Barnett

“The Warmaster”

35-8-0HeavyweightUFC

1777Great

Tale of the tape

35-8-0Record17-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
78,0"Reach78"
248 lbsWeight262 lbs
UWF USATeamUltimate Kombat Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh BarnettNow 1777
If they win+12→ 1789
If they lose-12→ 1765
Waldo Cortes-AcostaNow 1779
If they win+16→ 1795
If they lose-16→ 1763

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.20
Sig. strikes / min
5.54
51%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
57%
Strike defense
57%
1.26
Takedown avg.
0.44
55%
Takedown accuracy
57%
56%
Takedown defense
73%
1.38
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Josh BarnettWaldo Cortes-Acosta
1700175018002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (29%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
19 (56%)
Submission
1 (6%)
5 (15%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Waldo Cortes-Acosta73%
Josh Barnett 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Waldo Cortes-Acosta a 73% favorite over Josh Barnett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1777 vs 1779), separated by just 2 points.

Josh Barnett finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.

Josh Barnett and Waldo Cortes-Acosta share 1 common opponent: Andrei Arlovski.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSUB · 2016
Andrei Arlovski
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2024