Josh Bryant vs Kyle Noke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record22-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach76,0"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Absolute Combat AllianceTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Josh Bryant is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Kyle Noke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1689
If they lose-18→ 1657
If they win+13→ 1653
If they lose-11→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josh BryantKyle Noke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyle Noke55%
Josh Bryant 45%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Noke a 55% favorite over Josh Bryant in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Bryant's way (45%).
Josh Bryant holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1640, a 35-point edge.
Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Josh Bryant finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Noke 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.