Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Carrick vs Kent Mafileo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record6-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight248 lbs
Jarmesty Martial ArtsTeamRise Boxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh CarrickNow 1579
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555
Kent MafileoNow 1577
If they win+24→ 1601
If they lose-24→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Josh CarrickKent Mafileo
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (100%)
KO/TKO
6 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Carrick60%
Kent Mafileo 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Carrick a 60% favorite over Kent Mafileo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1577), separated by just 2 points.

Josh Carrick enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Josh Carrick finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kent Mafileo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.