Josh Carrick vs Kent Mafileo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record6-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight248 lbs
Jarmesty Martial ArtsTeamRise Boxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555
If they win+24→ 1602
If they lose-24→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josh CarrickKent Mafileo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Carrick57%
Kent Mafileo 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Carrick a 57% favorite over Kent Mafileo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1578), separated by just 1 points.
Josh Carrick enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Josh Carrick finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kent Mafileo 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.