Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Carrick vs Marcos Brigagao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record17-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight210 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh CarrickNow 1579
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555
Marcos BrigagaoNow 1573
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.07
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
TBD
Strike defense
26%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
36%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Josh CarrickMarcos Brigagao
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (100%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (18%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Carrick61%
Marcos Brigagao 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Carrick a 61% favorite over Marcos Brigagao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1573), separated by just 6 points.

Josh Carrick enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Marcos Brigagao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Carrick finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Brigagao 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.