Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Carrick vs Parker Porter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record13-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-Reach75"
265 lbsWeight256 lbs
Jarmesty Martial ArtsTeamUnderdog Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh CarrickNow 1579
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555
Parker PorterNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.55
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.32
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.35
TBD
Takedown accuracy
26%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

Josh CarrickParker Porter
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (100%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (23%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Carrick60%
Parker Porter 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Carrick a 60% favorite over Parker Porter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1575), separated by just 4 points.

Josh Carrick enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Josh Carrick finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Parker Porter 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.