Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Carrick vs Ruan Potts

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ruan Potts
za

Ruan Potts

“Fangzz”

11-7-0HeavyweightEFCA

1574Solid

Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record11-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight251 lbs
Jarmesty Martial ArtsTeamMark Robinson MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh CarrickNow 1579
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555
Ruan PottsNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.85
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.92
TBD
Strike defense
23%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.75
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.26

Trajectory

Josh CarrickRuan Potts
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (100%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (55%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Carrick60%
Ruan Potts 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Carrick a 60% favorite over Ruan Potts in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1574), separated by just 5 points.

Josh Carrick enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Josh Carrick finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ruan Potts 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.