Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Carrick vs Wesley Correira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record21-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight253 lbs
Jarmesty Martial ArtsTeamCabbage MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh CarrickNow 1579
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555
Wesley CorreiraNow 1574
If they win+12→ 1586
If they lose-12→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
10.33
TBD
Strike defense
41%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
91%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Josh CarrickWesley Correira
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (100%)
KO/TKO
17 (85%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (10%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Carrick62%
Wesley Correira 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Carrick a 62% favorite over Wesley Correira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1574), separated by just 5 points.

Josh Carrick enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Josh Carrick finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Wesley Correira 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.