Josh Copeland vs Ruslan Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-1Record15-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach78,0"
245 lbsWeight249 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamFight Club Berkut
What's at stake
Ruslan Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Josh Copeland carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1667
If they lose-10→ 1643
If they win+14→ 1711
If they lose-18→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh CopelandRuslan Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ruslan Magomedov73%
Josh Copeland 27%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Magomedov a 73% favorite over Josh Copeland in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Ruslan Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1653, a 44-point edge.
Josh Copeland enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ruslan Magomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Copeland finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Magomedov 40%.
Josh Copeland and Ruslan Magomedov share 1 common opponent: Shawn Jordan.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.