Josh Culibao vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-1Record39-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
73"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Igor MMATeamChina Top Team
What's at stake
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Josh Culibao carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1656
If they lose-14→ 1624
If they win+11→ 1691
If they lose-13→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh CulibaoShayilan Nuerdanbieke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Josh Culibao and Shayilan Nuerdanbieke within a point of even.
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1680 to 1638, a 42-point edge.
Josh Culibao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Culibao finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 74%.
Josh Culibao carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.