Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Diekmann vs Ryan Firinaiu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Diekmann
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Josh Diekmann

“The Freight Train”

15-8-0HeavyweightBFC

1550Solid

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record2-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReach-
228 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh DiekmannNow 1550
If they win+16→ 1566
If they lose-16→ 1534
Ryan FirinaiuNow 1557
If they win+24→ 1581
If they lose-24→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Josh DiekmannRyan Firinaiu
155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (73%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
4 (27%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Firinaiu79%
Josh Diekmann 21%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Firinaiu a 79% favorite over Josh Diekmann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1550 vs 1557), separated by just 7 points.

Josh Diekmann enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ryan Firinaiu enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Josh Diekmann finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.