Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Fremd vs Nate Marquardt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record36-20-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
76"Reach42,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamHigh Altitude Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh FremdNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Nate MarquardtNow 1651
If they win+12→ 1663
If they lose-12→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.52
Sig. strikes / min
2.71
44%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
47%
Strike defense
56%
0.66
Takedown avg.
1.87
8%
Takedown accuracy
51%
30%
Takedown defense
71%
1.09
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Josh FremdNate Marquardt
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
13 (36%)
4 (31%)
Submission
15 (42%)
3 (23%)
Decision
8 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Fremd73%
Nate Marquardt 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Fremd a 73% favorite over Nate Marquardt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nate Marquardt's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1651), separated by just 2 points.

Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Josh Fremd finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Nate Marquardt 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.