Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Fremd vs Oscar Ravello

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record13-3-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height5'10"
76"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamTeam FFC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh FremdNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Oscar RavelloNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.52
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0.66
Takedown avg.
TBD
8%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
30%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.09
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Josh FremdOscar Ravello
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
4 (31%)
Submission
3 (23%)
3 (23%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Fremd60%
Oscar Ravello 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Fremd a 60% favorite over Oscar Ravello in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Oscar Ravello's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.

Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Oscar Ravello enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Josh Fremd finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Oscar Ravello 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.