Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Fremd vs Roman Kopylov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record15-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
76"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamRaty Team

What's at stake

Roman Kopylov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Josh Fremd carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josh FremdNow 1610
If they win+21→ 1631
If they lose-11→ 1599
Roman KopylovNow 1712
If they win+11→ 1723
If they lose-21→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.52
Sig. strikes / min
4.59
44%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.18
47%
Strike defense
52%
0.66
Takedown avg.
1.14
25%
Takedown accuracy
48%
30%
Takedown defense
89%
1.09
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Josh FremdRoman Kopylov
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
12 (80%)
4 (36%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (27%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Roman Kopylov73%
Josh Fremd 27%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Roman Kopylov a 73% favorite over Josh Fremd in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Roman Kopylov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1610, a 102-point edge.

Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Roman Kopylov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Josh Fremd finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Roman Kopylov 80%.

Josh Fremd and Roman Kopylov share 2 common opponents: Anthony Hernandez and Gregory Rodrigues.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossKO (punches) · 2021
Gregory Rodrigues
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Anthony Hernandez
LossSubmission · 2024