Josh Fremd vs Roman Kopylov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record15-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
76"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamRaty Team· 1669 avg Elo · 13 rated
What's at stake
Roman Kopylov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Josh Fremd carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1668
If they lose-13→ 1636
If they win+13→ 1726
If they lose-19→ 1694
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh FremdRoman Kopylov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roman Kopylov60%
Josh Fremd 40%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Roman Kopylov a 60% favorite over Josh Fremd in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Roman Kopylov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1649, a 64-point edge.
Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Roman Kopylov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Josh Fremd finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Roman Kopylov 80%.
Josh Fremd and Roman Kopylov share 1 common opponent: Anthony Hernandez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.