Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Fremd vs Sedriques Dumas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record10-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'3"
76"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamTeam Remedy BJJ & MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh FremdNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Sedriques DumasNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.52
Sig. strikes / min
2
44%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.41
47%
Strike defense
55%
0.66
Takedown avg.
1.34
25%
Takedown accuracy
32%
30%
Takedown defense
33%
1.09
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Josh FremdSedriques Dumas
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
4 (36%)
Submission
2 (20%)
3 (27%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Sedriques Dumas60%
Josh Fremd 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Sedriques Dumas a 60% favorite over Josh Fremd in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1618), separated by just 8 points.

Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sedriques Dumas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Fremd finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Sedriques Dumas 60%.

Sedriques Dumas carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.