Josh Fremd vs Sedriques Dumas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-6-0Record10-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'3"
76"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamTeam Remedy BJJ & MMA
What's at stake
Josh Fremd is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Sedriques Dumas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1665
If they lose-18→ 1633
If they win+18→ 1620
If they lose-14→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josh FremdSedriques Dumas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sedriques Dumas52%
Josh Fremd 48%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Sedriques Dumas a 52% favorite over Josh Fremd in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Fremd's way (43%).
Josh Fremd holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1602, a 49-point edge.
Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Sedriques Dumas enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Josh Fremd finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Sedriques Dumas 60%.
Sedriques Dumas carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.