Josh Grispi vs Ollie Sarwa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record9-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
146 lbsWeight139 lbs
South Shore Sport FightingTeamForce MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh GrispiOllie Sarwa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ollie Sarwa78%
Josh Grispi 22%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ollie Sarwa a 78% favorite over Josh Grispi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Grispi's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1656), separated by just 3 points.
Josh Grispi enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Josh Grispi finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Ollie Sarwa 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.