Josh Grispi vs Rani Yahya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record28-12-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'6"
TBDReach67"
146 lbsWeight135 lbs
South Shore Sport FightingTeamConstrictor Team
What's at stake
Rani Yahya is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Josh Grispi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1676
If they lose-15→ 1644
If they win+11→ 1701
If they lose-13→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh GrispiRani Yahya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Grispi52%
Rani Yahya 48%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Grispi a 52% favorite over Rani Yahya in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rani Yahya's way (46%).
Rani Yahya holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1690 to 1659, a 31-point edge.
Josh Grispi enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Rani Yahya enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Grispi finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Rani Yahya 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.