Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Haynes vs Luke Cummo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Haynes
us

Josh Haynes

“Bring the Pain”

14-11-0Light HeavyweightROF

1528Average

Tale of the tape

14-11-0Record6-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamSerra-Longo Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh HaynesNow 1528
If they win+15→ 1543
If they lose-17→ 1511
Luke CummoNow 1515
If they win+17→ 1532
If they lose-15→ 1500

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.25
Sig. strikes / min
1.74
22%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.50
53%
Strike defense
60%
0.94
Takedown avg.
0.89
18%
Takedown accuracy
56%
43%
Takedown defense
43%
0
Submission avg.
1.42

Trajectory

Josh HaynesLuke Cummo
1500155020062007200820092010

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
8 (57%)
Submission
1 (17%)
2 (14%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Haynes54%
Luke Cummo 46%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Haynes a 54% favorite over Luke Cummo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1528 vs 1515), separated by just 13 points.

Josh Haynes finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Luke Cummo 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.