Josh Haynes vs Luke Cummo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-11-0Record6-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamSerra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1543
If they lose-17→ 1511
If they win+17→ 1532
If they lose-15→ 1500
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josh HaynesLuke Cummo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Cummo70%
Josh Haynes 30%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Cummo a 70% favorite over Josh Haynes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Haynes's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1528 vs 1515), separated by just 13 points.
Josh Haynes finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Luke Cummo 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.