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Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Haynes vs Michael Bisping

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Haynes
us

Josh Haynes

“Bring the Pain”

14-11-0Light HeavyweightROF

1528Average

Tale of the tape

14-11-0Record30-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'2"
TBDReach75″
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamHB Ultimate

What's at stake

Michael Bisping is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Josh Haynes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josh HaynesNow 1528
If they win+25→ 1553
If they lose-7→ 1521
Michael BispingNow 1741
If they win+5→ 1746
If they lose-19→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1747 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.25
Sig. strikes / min
4.33
22%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
53%
Strike defense
65%
0.94
Takedown avg.
1.05
18%
Takedown accuracy
43%
43%
Takedown defense
63%
0
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Josh HaynesMichael Bisping
1500160017002008200920102011201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
18 (60%)
8 (57%)
Submission
2 (7%)
2 (14%)
Decision
10 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Bisping85%
Josh Haynes 15%Elo baseline: 77%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Bisping a 85% favorite over Josh Haynes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).

Michael Bisping holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1528, a 213-point edge.

Michael Bisping enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Haynes finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Michael Bisping 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.