AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Haynes vs Nathan Jones

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Josh Haynes
us

Josh Haynes

“Bring the Pain”

14-11-0Light HeavyweightROF

1528Average
Nathan Jones
gb-eng

Nathan Jones

“Mr. Bag & Tag”

17-13-0WelterweightFSC

1528Average

Tale of the tape

14-11-0Record17-13-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
205 lbsWeight170 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamGeat Britian Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh HaynesNow 1528
If they win+16→ 1544
If they lose-16→ 1512
Nathan JonesNow 1528
If they win+12→ 1540
If they lose-12→ 1516

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.25
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
22%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
53%
Strike defense
Not available
0.94
Takedown avg.
Not available
18%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
43%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Josh HaynesNathan Jones
150015502008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
8 (57%)
Submission
13 (76%)
2 (14%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathan Jones55%
Josh Haynes 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathan Jones a 55% favorite over Josh Haynes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Haynes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1528 vs 1528), separated by just 0 points.

Josh Haynes finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Jones 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.