Josh Hendricks vs Ryo Sakai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-11-0Record15-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
259 lbsWeight246 lbs
Superior Health ClubTeamRanger Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1515
If they lose-16→ 1483
If they win+12→ 1503
If they lose-12→ 1479
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh HendricksRyo Sakai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Sakai75%
Josh Hendricks 25%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 75% favorite over Josh Hendricks in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Hendricks's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1499 vs 1491), separated by just 8 points.
Josh Hendricks enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Hendricks finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Ryo Sakai 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.