Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Koscheck vs Mike Pierce

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record17-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
73"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dethrone Base CampTeamSports Lab

What's at stake

Mike Pierce is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Josh Koscheck carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josh KoscheckNow 1644
If they win+14→ 1658
If they lose-10→ 1634
Mike PierceNow 1715
If they win+10→ 1725
If they lose-14→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.79
Sig. strikes / min
2.62
36%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.36
63%
Strike defense
62%
2.46
Takedown avg.
3.08
48%
Takedown accuracy
43%
64%
Takedown defense
71%
0.43
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Josh KoscheckMike Pierce
16501700175020132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
4 (24%)
Submission
1 (6%)
7 (41%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Pierce78%
Josh Koscheck 22%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Pierce a 78% favorite over Josh Koscheck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Mike Pierce holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1644, a 71-point edge.

Josh Koscheck enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Mike Pierce enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Koscheck finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Mike Pierce 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.