Josh Koscheck vs Paul Daley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record43-18-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
73"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Dethrone Base CampTeamSpirit Dojo
What's at stake
Paul Daley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Josh Koscheck carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1659
If they lose-9→ 1635
If they win+9→ 1733
If they lose-15→ 1709
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh KoscheckPaul Daley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Daley78%
Josh Koscheck 22%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Daley a 78% favorite over Josh Koscheck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Paul Daley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1644, a 80-point edge.
Josh Koscheck enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Josh Koscheck finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Paul Daley 81%.
Josh Koscheck and Paul Daley share 1 common opponent: Erick Silva.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.