Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Koscheck vs Pete Spratt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pete Spratt
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Pete Spratt

“The Secret Weapon”

25-24-0WelterweightFFC

1483Average

Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record25-24-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
73"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dethrone Base CampTeamTeam Spratt

What's at stake

Josh Koscheck is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Pete Spratt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josh KoscheckNow 1644
If they win+7→ 1651
If they lose-17→ 1627
Pete SprattNow 1483
If they win+17→ 1500
If they lose-7→ 1476

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.79
Sig. strikes / min
1.76
36%
Strike accuracy
58%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.93
63%
Strike defense
55%
2.46
Takedown avg.
0.43
48%
Takedown accuracy
100%
64%
Takedown defense
46%
0.43
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Josh KoscheckPete Spratt
1500155016001650170020162017

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
17 (68%)
4 (24%)
Submission
5 (20%)
7 (41%)
Decision
3 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Koscheck78%
Pete Spratt 22%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Koscheck a 78% favorite over Pete Spratt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Josh Koscheck holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1483, a 161-point edge.

Josh Koscheck enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Pete Spratt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Koscheck finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Pete Spratt 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.