Josh Koscheck vs Tyron Woodley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record19-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
73"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dethrone Base CampTeamAmerican Top Team Evolution
What's at stake
Tyron Woodley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Josh Koscheck carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-8→ 1636
If they win+8→ 1782
If they lose-16→ 1758
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1761 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh KoscheckTyron Woodley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tyron Woodley83%
Josh Koscheck 17%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Tyron Woodley a 83% favorite over Josh Koscheck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Tyron Woodley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1774 to 1644, a 130-point edge.
Josh Koscheck enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Tyron Woodley enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Josh Koscheck finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Tyron Woodley 63%.
Josh Koscheck and Tyron Woodley share 1 common opponent: Robbie Lawler.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.