Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Koscheck vs Yohan Lainesse

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record11-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
73"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dethrone Base CampTeamBrazilian Top Team Canada

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh KoscheckNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632
Yohan LainesseNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.79
Sig. strikes / min
2.22
36%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
63%
Strike defense
59%
2.46
Takedown avg.
0.94
48%
Takedown accuracy
29%
64%
Takedown defense
73%
0.43
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Josh KoscheckYohan Lainesse
165017002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
4 (24%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (41%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Yohan Lainesse64%
Josh Koscheck 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yohan Lainesse a 64% favorite over Josh Koscheck in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Koscheck's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1644), separated by just 0 points.

Josh Koscheck enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Yohan Lainesse enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Josh Koscheck finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Yohan Lainesse 64%.

Yohan Lainesse carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.