Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh McDonald vs Jozef Wittner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record16-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fairtex GymTeamMMA Top Team Kosice

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh McDonaldNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525
Jozef WittnerNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1486 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
57%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
34%
Strike defense
TBD
9
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Josh McDonaldJozef Wittner
155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
2 (22%)
Submission
8 (50%)
6 (67%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Jozef Wittner60%
Josh McDonald 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jozef Wittner a 60% favorite over Josh McDonald in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh McDonald's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1540), separated by just 1 points.

Jozef Wittner enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Josh McDonald finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Jozef Wittner 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.