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Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh McDonald vs Randy Mboyo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record4-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight157 lbs
Fairtex GymTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh McDonaldNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525
Randy MboyoNow 1542
If they win+24→ 1566
If they lose-24→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1486 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
57%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
34%
Strike defense
Not available
9
Takedown avg.
Not available
50%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Josh McDonaldRandy Mboyo
1450150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
4 (100%)
2 (22%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (67%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Randy Mboyo65%
Josh McDonald 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Randy Mboyo a 65% favorite over Josh McDonald in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1542), separated by just 1 points.

Josh McDonald finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Randy Mboyo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.