Josh Neal vs Rémi Bourgois
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-5-0Record0-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
160 lbsWeightTBD
TeamTBD
What's at stake
Rémi Bourgois is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Josh Neal carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1436
If they lose-15→ 1404
If they win+22→ 1470
If they lose-26→ 1422
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1489 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josh NealRémi Bourgois
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rémi Bourgois56%
Josh Neal 44%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Rémi Bourgois a 56% favorite over Josh Neal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Rémi Bourgois holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1448 to 1419, a 29-point edge.
Josh Neal enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Rémi Bourgois enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Neal finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.