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Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Neer vs Joshua Burkman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Josh Neer
us

Josh Neer

“The Dentist”

36-16-1WelterweightVFC

1647Solid
Joshua Burkman
us

Joshua Burkman

“The People's Warrior”

28-18-0LightweightLFA

1644Solid

Tale of the tape

36-16-1Record28-18-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReach39,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamThe Pit Elevated Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh NeerNow 1647
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635
Joshua BurkmanNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
2.69
46%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.13
59%
Strike defense
52%
1.09
Takedown avg.
2.53
34%
Takedown accuracy
37%
46%
Takedown defense
73%
1.27
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Josh NeerJoshua Burkman
16501700201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

21 (58%)
KO/TKO
7 (25%)
11 (31%)
Submission
10 (36%)
4 (11%)
Decision
11 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Burkman58%
Josh Neer 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Burkman a 58% favorite over Josh Neer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Neer's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1644), separated by just 3 points.

Josh Neer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joshua Burkman enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Josh Neer finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Burkman 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.