Josh Neer vs Joshua Burkman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-16-1Record28-18-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReach39,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamThe Pit Elevated Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1660
If they lose-12→ 1636
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh NeerJoshua Burkman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Neer60%
Joshua Burkman 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Neer a 60% favorite over Joshua Burkman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1644), separated by just 4 points.
Josh Neer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joshua Burkman enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Josh Neer finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Burkman 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.