Josh Neer vs Keith Wisniewski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-16-1Record28-15-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamDuneland Vale Tudo
What's at stake
Josh Neer is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Keith Wisniewski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1659
If they lose-13→ 1635
If they win+13→ 1619
If they lose-11→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh NeerKeith Wisniewski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Neer56%
Keith Wisniewski 44%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Neer a 56% favorite over Keith Wisniewski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Josh Neer holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1606, a 42-point edge.
Josh Neer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Keith Wisniewski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Josh Neer finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Keith Wisniewski 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.