Josh Neer vs Kurt Pellegrino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-16-1Record16-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamPellegrino MMA
What's at stake
Josh Neer is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Kurt Pellegrino carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1659
If they lose-13→ 1635
If they win+17→ 1636
If they lose-15→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josh NeerKurt Pellegrino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Neer56%
Kurt Pellegrino 44%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Neer a 56% favorite over Kurt Pellegrino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Josh Neer holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1619, a 29-point edge.
Josh Neer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kurt Pellegrino enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Josh Neer finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Kurt Pellegrino 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.