Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Neer vs Mac Danzig

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Josh Neer
us

Josh Neer

“The Dentist”

36-16-1WelterweightVFC

1648Solid

Tale of the tape

36-16-1Record22-12-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamDanzig MMA

What's at stake

Josh Neer is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Mac Danzig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josh NeerNow 1648
If they win+10→ 1658
If they lose-14→ 1634
Mac DanzigNow 1597
If they win+14→ 1611
If they lose-10→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
3.39
46%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.44
59%
Strike defense
57%
1.09
Takedown avg.
1.20
34%
Takedown accuracy
38%
46%
Takedown defense
46%
1.27
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Josh NeerMac Danzig
1600165017002014201520162017

Win method breakdown

21 (58%)
KO/TKO
5 (23%)
11 (31%)
Submission
11 (50%)
4 (11%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Neer60%
Mac Danzig 40%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Neer a 60% favorite over Mac Danzig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Josh Neer holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1597, a 51-point edge.

Josh Neer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Neer finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Mac Danzig 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.