Josh Neer vs Nick Diaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
36-16-1Record26-10-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReach76"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Nick Diaz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Josh Neer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-8→ 1639
If they win+8→ 1774
If they lose-16→ 1750
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josh NeerNick Diaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nick Diaz70%
Josh Neer 30%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Diaz a 70% favorite over Josh Neer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Nick Diaz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1766 to 1647, a 119-point edge.
Josh Neer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nick Diaz enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Josh Neer finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Nick Diaz 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.