AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Neer vs Tymoteusz Łopaczyk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Josh Neer
us

Josh Neer

“The Dentist”

36-16-1WelterweightVFC

1647Solid

Tale of the tape

36-16-1Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamWCA Fight Team· 1600 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh NeerNow 1647
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635
Tymoteusz ŁopaczykNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
46%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
59%
Strike defense
Not available
1.09
Takedown avg.
Not available
34%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
46%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.27
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Josh NeerTymoteusz Łopaczyk
1600165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

21 (58%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
11 (31%)
Submission
4 (29%)
4 (11%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Neer54%
Tymoteusz Łopaczyk 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Neer a 54% favorite over Tymoteusz Łopaczyk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1646), separated by just 1 points.

Josh Neer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Neer finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Tymoteusz Łopaczyk 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.