Josh Quinlan vs Joshua Sierra
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record4-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
72"Reach69"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Abe Brothers Jiu-Jitsu Las VegasTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh QuinlanJoshua Sierra
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Sierra54%
Josh Quinlan 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Sierra a 54% favorite over Josh Quinlan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1546), separated by just 1 points.
Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Joshua Sierra enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Josh Quinlan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Sierra 50%.
Josh Quinlan carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.