Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Quinlan vs Jozef Wittner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Quinlan
us

Josh Quinlan

“The Renegade”

6-4-0WelterweightUFC

1545Average

Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record16-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
72"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh QuinlanNow 1545
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529
Jozef WittnerNow 1545
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.57
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
0.34
Takedown avg.
TBD
11%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
71%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Josh QuinlanJozef Wittner
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
2 (33%)
Submission
8 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Jozef Wittner53%
Josh Quinlan 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jozef Wittner a 53% favorite over Josh Quinlan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Quinlan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1545), separated by just 0 points.

Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jozef Wittner enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Josh Quinlan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jozef Wittner 69%.

Jozef Wittner carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.