Josh Quinlan vs Jutaro Nakao
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-5-0Record26-21-4
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Abe Brothers Jiu-Jitsu Las VegasTeamJutaro Nakao MMA School
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1547
If they lose-16→ 1515
If they win+12→ 1546
If they lose-12→ 1522
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josh QuinlanJutaro Nakao
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Quinlan60%
Jutaro Nakao 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Quinlan a 60% favorite over Jutaro Nakao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jutaro Nakao's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1534), separated by just 3 points.
Josh Quinlan enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jutaro Nakao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Quinlan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jutaro Nakao 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.