Josh Quinlan vs Orlando Sanders
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record5-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
72"Reach-
170 lbsWeight158 lbs
Abe Brothers Jiu-Jitsu Las VegasTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529
If they win+24→ 1568
If they lose-24→ 1520
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh QuinlanOrlando Sanders
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Orlando Sanders62%
Josh Quinlan 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Orlando Sanders a 62% favorite over Josh Quinlan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Quinlan's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1544), separated by just 1 points.
Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Josh Quinlan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Orlando Sanders 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.