Josh Quinlan vs Rousimar Palhares
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record19-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Abe Brothers Jiu-Jitsu Las VegasTeamTeam Nogueira
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530
If they win+12→ 1556
If they lose-12→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh QuinlanRousimar Palhares
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Quinlan61%
Rousimar Palhares 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Quinlan a 61% favorite over Rousimar Palhares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1544), separated by just 2 points.
Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Rousimar Palhares enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Josh Quinlan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rousimar Palhares 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.