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Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Quinlan vs Yusaku Kinoshita

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Quinlan
us

Josh Quinlan

“The Renegade”

6-4-0WelterweightUFC

1544Average

Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
72"Reach71,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh QuinlanNow 1544
If they win+16→ 1560
If they lose-16→ 1528
Yusaku KinoshitaNow 1544
If they win+16→ 1560
If they lose-16→ 1528

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.57
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
42%
Strike accuracy
50%
6.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.12
54%
Strike defense
52%
0.34
Takedown avg.
0
11%
Takedown accuracy
0%
71%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Josh QuinlanYusaku Kinoshita
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
2 (33%)
Submission
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Yusaku Kinoshita65%
Josh Quinlan 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yusaku Kinoshita a 65% favorite over Josh Quinlan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Quinlan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1544 vs 1544), separated by just 0 points.

Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Yusaku Kinoshita enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Josh Quinlan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yusaku Kinoshita 100%.

Josh Quinlan and Yusaku Kinoshita share 1 common opponent: Adam Fugitt.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Split · 2024
Adam Fugitt
LossKO/TKO · 2023