Josh Rafferty vs Leandro Camargo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-8-0Record7-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
169 lbsWeight161 lbs
Meat Truck Inc.TeamStrikers MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1512
If they lose-16→ 1480
If they win+16→ 1513
If they lose-16→ 1481
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh RaffertyLeandro Camargo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leandro Camargo70%
Josh Rafferty 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Leandro Camargo a 70% favorite over Josh Rafferty in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1496 vs 1497), separated by just 1 points.
Josh Rafferty enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Leandro Camargo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Josh Rafferty finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Leandro Camargo 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.