Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Samman vs Tamdan McCrory

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record14-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'4"
79,0"Reach78,0"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamCNY MMA

What's at stake

Tamdan McCrory is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Josh Samman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josh SammanNow 1606
If they win+18→ 1624
If they lose-14→ 1592
Tamdan McCroryNow 1642
If they win+14→ 1656
If they lose-18→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
2.07
53%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.60
35%
Strike defense
47%
1.09
Takedown avg.
2.28
33%
Takedown accuracy
50%
33%
Takedown defense
33%
0.36
Submission avg.
2.47

Trajectory

Josh SammanTamdan McCrory
16001650170020152016

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
3 (25%)
Submission
5 (36%)
1 (8%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Josh Samman and Tamdan McCrory within a point of even.

Tamdan McCrory holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1642 to 1606, a 36-point edge.

Josh Samman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tamdan McCrory enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Samman finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Tamdan McCrory 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.