Josh Sampo vs Justin Scoggins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record15-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'7"
TBDReach66,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team OyamaTeamRevolution Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
Justin Scoggins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Josh Sampo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1602
If they lose-14→ 1570
If they win+14→ 1633
If they lose-18→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh SampoJustin Scoggins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Scoggins70%
Josh Sampo 30%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Scoggins a 70% favorite over Josh Sampo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Justin Scoggins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1584, a 35-point edge.
Josh Sampo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Josh Sampo finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Justin Scoggins 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.