Josh Sampo vs Paddy Holohan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record12-2-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'9"
TBDReach39.00
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team OyamaTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Josh Sampo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Paddy Holohan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1598
If they lose-18→ 1566
If they win+26→ 1577
If they lose-22→ 1529
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh SampoPaddy Holohan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paddy Holohan60%
Josh Sampo 40%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Paddy Holohan a 60% favorite over Josh Sampo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Sampo's way (45%).
Josh Sampo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1584 to 1551, a 33-point edge.
Josh Sampo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Josh Sampo finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Paddy Holohan 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.