Josh Sampo vs Zach Makovsky
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record21-12-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'4"
TBDReach64,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team OyamaTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh SampoZach Makovsky
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Sampo55%
Zach Makovsky 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Sampo a 55% favorite over Zach Makovsky in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zach Makovsky's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1585), separated by just 1 points.
Josh Sampo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Zach Makovsky enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Josh Sampo finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Zach Makovsky 38%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.