Josh Schockman vs Ryo Sakai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record15-16-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight246 lbs
Dirty South Fight TeamTeamRanger Gym
What's at stake
Ryo Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Josh Schockman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1475
If they lose-21→ 1427
If they win+11→ 1502
If they lose-13→ 1478
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1600 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh SchockmanRyo Sakai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Sakai78%
Josh Schockman 22%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 78% favorite over Josh Schockman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Ryo Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1491 to 1448, a 43-point edge.
Josh Schockman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Schockman finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Ryo Sakai 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.