Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Shockley vs Michael Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record24-20-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Duneland Vale TudoTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh ShockleyNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Michael JohnsonNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.40
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
33%
Strike accuracy
40%
1.75
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
60%
Strike defense
59%
0
Takedown avg.
0.58
0%
Takedown accuracy
39%
62%
Takedown defense
81%
0.75
Submission avg.
0.04

Trajectory

Josh ShockleyMichael Johnson
1600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
5 (45%)
Submission
2 (8%)
3 (27%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Josh Shockley and Michael Johnson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1613), separated by just 2 points.

Josh Shockley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Shockley finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Michael Johnson 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.